Mes Rafsanjan 1-2 Zob Ahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 27 Dec 2024

📅27/12/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.66
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.33
Over 2.5
34%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
15%
7.9
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
34%
-5.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
72%
-5.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
28%
+5.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.28/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.98
+43% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Zob Ahan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
0 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 0
17.03.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-2 HT 1-2 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
21.10.2023 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-2 HT 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
02.02.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
25.08.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
18.03.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
05.12.2021 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-3 HT 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Zob Ahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zob Ahan nicked a narrow win over Mes Rafsanjan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Zob Ahan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 0.67 for Zob Ahan.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Zob Ahan?

Mes Rafsanjan 1-2 Zob Ahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Zob Ahan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Rafsanjan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 36%, draw 29%, Zob Ahan 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mes Rafsanjan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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