Mes Rafsanjan 2-2 Zob Ahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.63
Away
38%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.88
2-3 Goals
35%
1.89
4-5 Goals
14%
7.44
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-9.8pp
29%
Draw
34%
-5.1pp
38%
Away Win
23%
+14.9pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.4pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.6pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.21/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.79
+10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Zob Ahan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
0 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 0
21.10.2023 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-2 HT 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
02.02.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
25.08.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
18.03.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
05.12.2021 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-3 HT 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
30.07.2021 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Zob Ahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan and Zob Ahan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 0.33 for Zob Ahan.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Zob Ahan?

Mes Rafsanjan 2-2 Zob Ahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Zob Ahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zob Ahan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 33%, draw 29%, Zob Ahan 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zob Ahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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