Malavan FC 1-0 Sanat Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
15%
7.01
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+3.2pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.00/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.14
-26% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 187 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malavan FC
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Sanat Naft
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.10.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 1-1 HT 1-1 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
13.03.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 1-1 HT 1-1 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
POST-MATCH Malavan FC vs Sanat Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malavan FC nicked a narrow win over Sanat Naft 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malavan FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malavan FC and 1.00 for Sanat Naft.

What was the final score of Malavan FC vs Sanat Naft?

Malavan FC 1-0 Sanat Naft in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malavan FC vs Sanat Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malavan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Malavan FC 48%, draw 32%, Sanat Naft 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malavan FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malavan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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