Aluminium Arak 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.58
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
14%
7.52
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
40%
+11.6pp
27%
Draw
36%
-8.5pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.0pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.7pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -22%
0.96/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.08
-14% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.02.2024 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRANK
17.10.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
14.04.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
21.02.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRANK
28.10.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 3-0 HT 2-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
04.05.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Nassaji Mazandaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak squeezed past Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aluminium Arak as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminium Arak had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aluminium Arak and 0.00 for Nassaji Mazandaran.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Aluminium Arak 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 51%, draw 27%, Nassaji Mazandaran 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminium Arak), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aluminium Arak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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