Menemen FK 1-3 Van Spor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Playoff, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Menemen FK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Menemen FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Van Spor FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Menemen FK Menemen FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Van Spor FK Van Spor FK T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Menemen FK
1-3
AWAY Van Spor FK
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Menemen FK vs Van Spor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Van Spor FK saw off Menemen FK 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Van Spor FK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Menemen FK had 46% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 54%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Menemen FK vs Van Spor FK?

Menemen FK 1-3 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Playoff on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Menemen FK vs Van Spor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Menemen FK 30%, draw 28%, Van Spor FK 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Van Spor FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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