68 Aksaray Belediyespor 1-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Playoff, 8 May 2025

📅08/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.6pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2025 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 0-1 HT 0-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
22.12.2024 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-1 HT 1-0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1-0
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

68 Aksaray Belediyespor edged past Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had 68 Aksaray Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor had 56% of the ball to Karacabey Belediye Spor's 44%, shots finished 12-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karacabey Belediye Spor led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor and 1.00 for Karacabey Belediye Spor.

What was the final score of 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

68 Aksaray Belediyespor 1-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Playoff on 08/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 48%, draw 22%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (68 Aksaray Belediyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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