Fortaleza CEIF 4-1 Leones FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
8%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
2%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.8pp
8%
Away Win
11%
-2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones FC EU Bookmakers 14%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.93/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.31
-55% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +51%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Leones FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
12.06.2025 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 1-1 Leones FC Leones FC KOLK
22.10.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Leones FC Leones FC KOLB
30.08.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 3-1 HT 1-0 Leones FC Leones FC KOLB
12.03.2023 Leones FC Leones FC 2-2 HT 2-2 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
03.09.2022 Leones FC Leones FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
19.02.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 HT 1-1 Leones FC Leones FC KOLB
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Leones FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF cruised past Leones FC 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.33 for Leones FC.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Leones FC?

Fortaleza CEIF 4-1 Leones FC in the Colombia - Cup on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Leones FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 69%, draw 23%, Leones FC 8%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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