Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Leones FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 12 Jun 2025

📅12/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.03
Over 2.5
38%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-15.3pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.7pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
45%
+16.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
55%
-16.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones FC EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.86/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.53
-53% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leones FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
22.10.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Leones FC Leones FC KOLB
30.08.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 3-1 HT 1-0 Leones FC Leones FC KOLB
12.03.2023 Leones FC Leones FC 2-2 HT 2-2 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
03.09.2022 Leones FC Leones FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
19.02.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 HT 1-1 Leones FC Leones FC KOLB
14.08.2021 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 3-1 HT 1-1 Leones FC Leones FC KOLB
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Leones FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF and Leones FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fortaleza CEIF at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.33 for Leones FC.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Leones FC?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 Leones FC in the Colombia - Cup on 12/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Leones FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 56%, draw 26%, Leones FC 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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