Aguilas Doradas 2-1 Orsomarso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 12 Jun 2025

📅12/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-11.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsomarso EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +84%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Orsomarso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas edged past Orsomarso 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Orsomarso?

Aguilas Doradas 2-1 Orsomarso in the Colombia - Cup on 12/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Orsomarso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 55%, draw 24%, Orsomarso 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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