Alianza Petrolera 3-3 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 12 Jun 2025

📅12/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
25%
2.83
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.06
No
68%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.9pp
32%
BTTS Yes
44%
-12.9pp
68%
BTTS No
56%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.09/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.61
+51% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Envigado
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
268 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.04.2025 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-2 HT 0-2 Envigado Envigado KOL
12.08.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-1 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
08.02.2024 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
11.08.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-1 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
18.02.2023 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
17.07.2022 Envigado Envigado 2-2 HT 1-2 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera and Envigado couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Petrolera at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.17 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Envigado?

Alianza Petrolera 3-3 Envigado in the Colombia - Cup on 12/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 50%, draw 26%, Envigado 25%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOLK More Colombia - Cup
12 Jun 2025
00:00 Fortaleza CEIF vs Leones FC Analysis →
02:00 Aguilas Doradas vs Orsomarso Analysis →
03:00 Deportivo Pasto vs Union Magdalena Analysis →
03:00 Deportivo Pereira vs Bogota Analysis →