Alianza Petrolera vs Envigado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Envigado — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Envigado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-2
HT 1-2
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-2
HT 2-0
Envigado
KOL
2-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Envigado — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera and Envigado shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Alianza Petrolera at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 58% of the ball to Envigado's 42%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.15 to 0.99.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.33 for Envigado.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Envigado?
Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Envigado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 47%, draw 28%, Envigado 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), BTTS No went the other way.