Alianza Petrolera vs Envigado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Envigado — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Envigado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-2
HT 1-2
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-2
HT 2-0
Envigado
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-2 Envigado — Actual Match Statistics
Envigado edged past Alianza Petrolera 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Alianza Petrolera at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 74% of the ball to Envigado's 26%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.05 to 0.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Alianza Petrolera.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.17 for Envigado.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Envigado?
Alianza Petrolera 1-2 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Envigado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 50%, draw 28%, Envigado 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.