Atletico Nacional vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Union Magdalena
KOL
2-2
HT 2-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Union Magdalena
KOL
3-1
HT 1-0
Union Magdalena
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
Atletico Nacional 1-0 Union Magdalena — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional nicked a narrow win over Union Magdalena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 73% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 27%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.00 to 0.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.00 for Union Magdalena.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Union Magdalena?
Atletico Nacional 1-0 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Union Magdalena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 59%, draw 23%, Union Magdalena 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.