Santa Fe 1-1 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+10.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.19/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.25
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
20.4 Crosses 11.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.80 xG 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
282 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
30.11.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
18.07.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
23.01.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
07.08.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
15.02.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.89 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
333 Passes 252
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe and Deportivo Pasto shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Santa Fe had 55% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 45%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.89 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Fe and 1.33 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?

Santa Fe 1-1 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 44%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pasto 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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