Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Santa Fe
KOL
0-2
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
3-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOLK
0-1
HT 0-0
Santa Fe
KOLK
Santa Fe 2-1 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santa Fe had 47% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 53%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.61 to 0.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santa Fe and 0.83 for Deportivo Pasto.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
Santa Fe 2-1 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 43%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pasto 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.