Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alianza Petrolera v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alianza Petrolera 0-2 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional saw off Alianza Petrolera 2-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Alianza Petrolera had 55% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 45%, shots finished 20-18, expected goals 1.24 to 0.90.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.50 for Atletico Nacional.
Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional Result & Final Score
Alianza Petrolera 0 - 2 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 24%, draw 32%, Atletico Nacional 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.