Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
0-2
HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 0-2 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional saw off Alianza Petrolera 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Atletico Nacional found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 55% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 45%, shots finished 20-18, expected goals 1.24 to 0.90.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.50 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional?
Alianza Petrolera 0-2 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 34%, draw 27%, Atletico Nacional 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.