Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atletico Nacional v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Nacional 3-1 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional got the better of Alianza Petrolera 3-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 46%.
By the numbers, Atletico Nacional had 59% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 41%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 2.09 to 0.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.50 for Alianza Petrolera.
Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Result & Final Score
Atletico Nacional 3 - 1 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 62%, draw 24%, Alianza Petrolera 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.