Millonarios 5-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.16/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.17
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
17.5 Crosses 12.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 327
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 2-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
27.11.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
19.09.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
18.06.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
21.05.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-2 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
09.04.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
5-0
AWAY Independiente Medellin
2.82 xG 0.45
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
208 Passes 384
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios cruised past Independiente Medellin 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Millonarios made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Millonarios had 39% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 61%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.82 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Millonarios and 1.17 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Independiente Medellin?

Millonarios 5-0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 38%, draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 32%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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