Junior 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.5pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.64/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.49
+10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
17.0 Crosses 11.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
335 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
10.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
12.06.2022 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
01.06.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
17.04.2022 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
12.10.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-0
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.56 xG 0.60
63% Ball Possession 37%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
464 Passes 269
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior beat Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Junior had 63% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 37%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 1.56 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Junior and 0.67 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Junior vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Junior 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Junior 56%, draw 25%, Atletico Bucaramanga 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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