Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Santa Fe
KOL
0-2
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Santa Fe 1-2 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto edged past Santa Fe 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santa Fe had 42% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 58%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.08 to 0.61 — on chances, Santa Fe could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santa Fe and 1.17 for Deportivo Pasto.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
Santa Fe 1-2 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 45%, draw 31%, Deportivo Pasto 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.