Deportivo Pasto 3-1 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 12 Jun 2025

Deportivo Pasto
3-1 HT 2-1
Union Magdalena
📅12/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2025

Deportivo Pasto vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.67
No
56%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
78%
-14.9pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.9pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
33%
+10.8pp
56%
BTTS No
67%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Pasto v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.15
+39% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / +55%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Deportivo Pasto vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
255 Passes 281
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.02.2025 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
14.10.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-1 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
30.04.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
24.07.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
04.02.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
24.08.2019 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto got the better of Union Magdalena 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.00 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Union Magdalena?

Deportivo Pasto 3-1 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Cup on 12/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 63%, draw 24%, Union Magdalena 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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