Vipers 1-1 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 8 May 2026

Vipers
1-1 HT 0-1
URA
📅08/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.86/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.36
+13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
4W-0D-1L
AWAY URA
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
24.01.2026 URA URA 0-3 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGA
11.02.2025 Vipers Vipers 2-0 HT 0-0 URA URA UGA
22.11.2024 URA URA 0-2 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
12.04.2022 URA URA 0-3 HT 0-2 Vipers Vipers UGA
27.11.2021 Vipers Vipers 0-2 HT 0-1 URA URA UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
1-1
AWAY URA
65% Ball Possession 35%
4 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vipers vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers and URA couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vipers at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Vipers had 65% of the ball to URA's 35%, shots finished 4-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vipers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vipers and 0.40 for URA.

What was the final score of Vipers vs URA?

Vipers 1-1 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Vipers 63%, draw 23%, URA 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vipers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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