Qingdao Red Lions 3-2 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.81
No
61%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.02
6+ Goals
7%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 36% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.0pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 32%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.96/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.23
+27% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
29.0 Crosses 11.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Red Lions
3-2
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.97 xG 0.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
261 Passes 349
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Red Lions edged past Yanbian Longding 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Qingdao Red Lions as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Qingdao Red Lions had 45% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 55%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.97 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Yanbian Longding?

Qingdao Red Lions 3-2 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Red Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 43%, draw 29%, Yanbian Longding 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Red Lions) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Red Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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