Yunnan Yukun 4-1 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.27
6+ Goals
7%
11.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 20%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.73/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.96
+49% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +48%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 74%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
21.0 Crosses 10.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
4-1
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
1.85 xG 0.98
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
189 Passes 280
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun ran out comfortable winners over Hebei Kungfu 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 42% of the ball to Hebei Kungfu's 58%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.85 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Hebei Kungfu?

Yunnan Yukun 4-1 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 51%, draw 26%, Hebei Kungfu 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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