Thisted 1-0 Brabrand — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brabrand EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
0.98/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.67
-28% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brabrand
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Brabrand Brabrand 1-1 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
28.03.2024 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
08.08.2023 Thisted Thisted 4-2 HT 0-1 Brabrand Brabrand DAK
05.08.2023 Brabrand Brabrand 1-2 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
29.10.2022 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-0 Brabrand Brabrand DAN2
08.10.2022 Brabrand Brabrand 1-3 HT 1-2 Thisted Thisted DAN2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Brabrand
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted nicked a narrow win over Brabrand 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Thisted found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thisted had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Thisted and 1.17 for Brabrand.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Brabrand?

Thisted 1-0 Brabrand in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Brabrand?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thisted win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Thisted 36%, draw 28%, Brabrand 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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