Roskilde 2-2 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.89
Over 2.5
49%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
31%
+20.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
69%
-20.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.26/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.19
-5% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
338 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Esbjerg
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-2 HT 1-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
28.03.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 4-2 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
30.09.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 3-3 HT 2-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
12.03.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-1 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
01.10.2022 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
2-2
AWAY Esbjerg
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde and Esbjerg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Roskilde had 52% of the ball to Esbjerg's 48%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Esbjerg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Roskilde and 2.60 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Esbjerg?

Roskilde 2-2 Esbjerg in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 36%, draw 25%, Esbjerg 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Esbjerg), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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