Esbjerg 3-2 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.65
2-3 Goals
35%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 25%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.30/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.22
+20% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Roskilde
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 4-2 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
30.09.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 3-3 HT 2-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
12.03.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-1 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
01.10.2022 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
3-2
AWAY Roskilde
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Roskilde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg edged past Roskilde 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esbjerg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Esbjerg had 53% of the ball to Roskilde's 47%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Esbjerg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Esbjerg and 1.50 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Roskilde?

Esbjerg 3-2 Roskilde in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 45%, draw 24%, Roskilde 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esbjerg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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