Gyeongju HNP 1-1 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.03
No
43%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
45%
+11.5pp
43%
BTTS No
55%
-11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.38/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.08
+20% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
11.11.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
17.06.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
01.10.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-1 HT 1-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
29.05.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-2 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
11.09.2021 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
09.05.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-3 HT 1-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP and Hwaseong couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.17 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Hwaseong?

Gyeongju HNP 1-1 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K3 League on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 44%, draw 30%, Hwaseong 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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