Ulsan Citizen 1-2 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
-16% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
0.89/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.07
-24% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paju Citizen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.08.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 3-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
16.04.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
09.07.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
26.03.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-3 HT 0-2 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
23.10.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
05.06.2021 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 4-1 HT 3-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen edged past Ulsan Citizen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Paju Citizen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 1.00 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Paju Citizen?

Ulsan Citizen 1-2 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 36%, draw 29%, Paju Citizen 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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