Ehime FC 1-0 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 45%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.03/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.13
-7% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 598 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ehime FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
28.11.2021 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-1 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
30.05.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-5 HT 0-3 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
29.11.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
29.08.2020 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
10.11.2019 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
06.06.2018 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-0 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ehime FC
1-0
AWAY Mito HollyHock
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ehime FC vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ehime FC squeezed past Mito HollyHock 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mito HollyHock at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ehime FC had 36% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 64%, shots finished 9-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ehime FC and 2.00 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Ehime FC vs Mito HollyHock?

Ehime FC 1-0 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ehime FC vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ehime FC 33%, draw 25%, Mito HollyHock 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mito HollyHock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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