Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 32% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-8.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -23%
1.16/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.48
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0W-2D-4L
AWAY JEF United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2023 JEF United JEF United 4-0 HT 3-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
03.05.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
23.10.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-3 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
27.04.2022 JEF United JEF United 2-0 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
30.10.2021 JEF United JEF United 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
05.05.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1-2
AWAY JEF United
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United nicked a narrow win over Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day JEF United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 55% of the ball to JEF United's 45%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.83 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs JEF United?

Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 35%, draw 31%, JEF United 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
8 Jun 2024
09:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →
12:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Yokohama FC Analysis →
12:00 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
12:00 Ehime FC vs Mito HollyHock Analysis →
12:00 Ventforet Kofu vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
13:00 Tochigi SC vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Analysis →