Gainare Tottori 0-4 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.21/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.59
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.08.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-1 HT 2-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
02.04.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
18.09.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 2-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
05.06.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
0-4
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga cruised past Gainare Tottori 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Matsumoto Yamaga made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 55% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 45%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Gainare Tottori and 0.75 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Gainare Tottori 0-4 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 34%, draw 27%, Matsumoto Yamaga 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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