Nara Club 2-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.31/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.02
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sagamihara
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 2-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
15.07.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 3-2 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
2-1
AWAY Sagamihara
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club nicked a narrow win over Sagamihara 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Nara Club found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nara Club had 42% of the ball to Sagamihara's 58%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nara Club and 2.00 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Sagamihara?

Nara Club 2-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 34%, draw 30%, Sagamihara 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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