Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Jun 2024

📅08/06/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
0.62/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.74
-21% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0W-4D-2L
AWAY CA Penarol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.12.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
25.06.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
13.05.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
03.10.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
17.07.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 3-3 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2-0
AWAY CA Penarol
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers got the better of CA Penarol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was CA Penarol at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 48% of the ball to CA Penarol's 52%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.17 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol?

Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 23%, draw 29%, CA Penarol 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA Penarol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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