CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
CA Penarol v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CA Penarol 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol squeezed past Montevideo Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 46% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.66, about 60%.
On the day, Montevideo Wanderers saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 13-7.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for CA Penarol against 0.67 for Montevideo Wanderers.
CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers Result & Final Score
CA Penarol 1 - 0 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 68%, draw 21%, Montevideo Wanderers 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.