Progreso vs Defensor Sporting Prediction — Model Probabilities
Progreso v Defensor Sporting — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Defensor Sporting Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Progreso 1-4 Defensor Sporting — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting ran out comfortable winners over Progreso 4-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Progreso had 57% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 43%, shots finished 12-13.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Progreso and 2.00 for Defensor Sporting.
Progreso vs Defensor Sporting Result & Final Score
Progreso 1 - 4 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Progreso vs Defensor Sporting Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Progreso 29%, draw 28%, Defensor Sporting 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.