Norrköping 1-3 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 8 Jul 2024

Norrköping
1-3 HT 0-1
Djurgarden
📅08/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Norrköping vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.98
1/2
9%
22.3
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
10%
9.56
X/2
17%
4.15
X/X
8%
5.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.18
2/X
8%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norrköping v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 58%
+19% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.23/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.94
+84% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
14.8 Crosses 24.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Norrköping vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Djurgarden
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
350 Passes 436
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
11.06.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-2 HT 1-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
31.10.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 0-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
16.04.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
22.11.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 1-1 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
18.04.2021 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ

Norrköping 1-3 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
1-3
AWAY Djurgarden
0.52 xG 1.42
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
307 Passes 447
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 39
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden beat Norrköping 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Norrköping had 42% of the ball to Djurgarden's 58%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.52 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Norrköping and 1.50 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Djurgarden?

Norrköping 1-3 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 27%, draw 21%, Djurgarden 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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