Vasteras SK FK 1-2 Hacken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
7.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.91 — our 26% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.8
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
12%
6.26
X/2
16%
5.49
X/X
12%
5.57
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
13%
3.16
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.4pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
Crosses 17.9
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hacken
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 11
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2021 Hacken Hacken 3-0 HT 1-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
16.09.2004 Hacken Hacken 5-0 HT 2-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1-2
AWAY Hacken
1.57 xG 0.97
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 14
340 Passes 481
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 37
20 Crosses 33
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Hacken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken nicked a narrow win over Vasteras SK FK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Hacken made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 43% of the ball to Hacken's 57%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.57 to 0.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vasteras SK FK.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hacken led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 4.00 for Hacken.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Hacken?

Vasteras SK FK 1-2 Hacken in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Hacken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasteras SK FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 38%, draw 27%, Hacken 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) ✗ Under 2.5
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