Rosario Central 0-1 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.19
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.72
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
1.33/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+19% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 68%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.4 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Barracas Central
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.89 xG 0.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 189
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-2 HT 0-2 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
07.11.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.06.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
13.08.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 1-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
13.03.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-3 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
0-1
AWAY Barracas Central
0.55 xG 0.34
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
316 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central edged past Rosario Central 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rosario Central at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Rosario Central had 55% of the ball to Barracas Central's 45%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.55 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Barracas Central led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Rosario Central and 1.40 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Barracas Central?

Rosario Central 0-1 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Cup on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 43%, draw 28%, Barracas Central 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rosario Central) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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