Rosario Central 1-2 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.9
X/1
19%
4.18
X/2
9%
6.96
X/X
11%
3.85
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
10%
5.92
2/X
9%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.6pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.43/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.15
+15% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +87%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
24.3 Crosses 13.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Barracas Central
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.87 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
268 Passes 188
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.06.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
13.08.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 1-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
13.03.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-3 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
1-2
AWAY Barracas Central
0.96 xG 0.94
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
449 Passes 195
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 20
39 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central edged past Rosario Central 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Rosario Central at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosario Central had 66% of the ball to Barracas Central's 34%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.96 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Rosario Central and 1.25 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Barracas Central?

Rosario Central 1-2 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 45%, draw 30%, Barracas Central 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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