Instituto Cordoba 1-2 Argentinos Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.71
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.34
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
16%
4.33
X/2
13%
6.15
X/X
16%
3.47
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
10%
5.41
2/X
6%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.35/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.10
-12% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
23.1 Crosses 19.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 1.08
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
134 Passes 398
57% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 33
20 Crosses 37
4 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-2 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
07.07.2023 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
20.07.2017 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJK
17.08.2014 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJPBN
13.03.2006 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
02.10.2005 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1-2
AWAY Argentinos Juniors
1.68 xG 0.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
189 Passes 286
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors edged past Instituto Cordoba 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Instituto Cordoba at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 44% of the ball to Argentinos Juniors's 56%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.68 to 0.59 — the balance of chances actually favoured Instituto Cordoba.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 0.67 for Argentinos Juniors.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors?

Instituto Cordoba 1-2 Argentinos Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Argentinos Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 44%, draw 29%, Argentinos Juniors 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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