Aveley 5-3 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
51%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
51%
Away Win
60%
-9.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.0pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
5-3
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aveley got the better of Dagenham & Redbridge 5-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dagenham & Redbridge at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aveley had 39% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 61%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Aveley 5-3 Dagenham & Redbridge in the Friendlies on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aveley 27%, draw 22%, Dagenham & Redbridge 51%. The final score 5-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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