Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+16% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg HAZ
22.11.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız HAZ
03.07.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız HAZ
30.09.2004 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg AVL
16.09.2004 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 HT 3-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-2
AWAY Kızılyıldız
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız edged past Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zenit St. Petersburg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 50% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 50%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.80 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Kızılyıldız?

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 Kızılyıldız in the Friendlies on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 46%, draw 27%, Kızılyıldız 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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