Kızılyıldız 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.25
2-3 Goals
36%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.7
6+ Goals
15%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.9pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 49%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.27
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
44% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
22.11.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız HAZ
03.07.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız HAZ
30.09.2004 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg AVL
16.09.2004 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 HT 3-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
1-0
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız squeezed past Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Kızılyıldız made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 50% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 50%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kızılyıldız and 2.75 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Kızılyıldız 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Friendlies on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 40%, draw 22%, Zenit St. Petersburg 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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