23/03/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Türkiye U18 vs Moldova U18 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
71%
24%
Draw
18%
26%
Away Win
11%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Türkiye U18 v Moldova U18 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Türkiye U18
EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY
Moldova U18
EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-20% /
-20%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-49%
/
-38%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
376 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
308 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Türkiye U18 vs Moldova U18
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Türkiye U18 nicked a narrow win over Moldova U18 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Türkiye U18 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Türkiye U18 vs Moldova U18?
Türkiye U18 2-1 Moldova U18 in the Friendlies on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Türkiye U18 vs Moldova U18?
Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye U18 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Türkiye U18 50%, draw 24%, Moldova U18 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye U18), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Türkiye U18)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
23 Mar 2024