23/03/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Baranovichi vs Slutsk Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
45%
22%
Draw
29%
24%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baranovichi v Slutsk — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Baranovichi
EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Slutsk
EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+30% /
+30%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+53%
/
+44%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
298 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
279 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Baranovichi vs Slutsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Baranovichi squeezed past Slutsk 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Baranovichi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Baranovichi vs Slutsk?
Baranovichi 2-1 Slutsk in the Friendlies on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs Slutsk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Baranovichi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 54%, draw 22%, Slutsk 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baranovichi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Baranovichi)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
23 Mar 2024