23/03/2024
·
01:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Nijer vs Togo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
31%
Draw
29%
27%
Away Win
34%
66%
Under 2.5
64%
34%
Over 2.5
36%
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
62%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nijer v Togo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nijer
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Togo
EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-52% /
-52%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+41%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
4
296 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
329 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Nijer vs Togo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Togo squeezed past Nijer 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Nijer at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Nijer vs Togo?
Nijer 1-2 Togo in the Friendlies on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nijer vs Togo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nijer win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nijer 42%, draw 31%, Togo 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Nijer)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
23 Mar 2024