Tromsö 0-1 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
5.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.71
6+ Goals
10%
6.84
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.23 — our 27% vs market 14.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-10.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.8pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
5W-1D-0L
AWAY HamKam
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 0.69
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
429 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 2-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
13.05.2023 HamKam HamKam 1-2 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
06.11.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-2 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
17.08.2022 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOK
10.04.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
28.10.2020 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam squeezed past Tromsö 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day HamKam made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tromsö and 0.83 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs HamKam?

Tromsö 0-1 HamKam in the Friendlies on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated an HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 34%, draw 29%, HamKam 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HamKam), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HamKam) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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