Cezayir 3-2 Bolivya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.29
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.66
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 30% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-9.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.5pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cezayir EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivya EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
2.80/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.93
+23% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
474 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.9
Crosses 8.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cezayir
3-2
AWAY Bolivya
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cezayir vs Bolivya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cezayir nicked a narrow win over Bolivya 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cezayir as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cezayir had 64% of the ball to Bolivya's 36%, shots finished 22-8.

What was the final score of Cezayir vs Bolivya?

Cezayir 3-2 Bolivya in the Friendlies on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cezayir vs Bolivya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cezayir win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Cezayir 64%, draw 20%, Bolivya 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cezayir) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cezayir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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