Fas 1-0 Angola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Mar 2024

Fas
1-0 HT 0-0
Angola
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-7.8pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.2pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Angola EU Bookmakers 11%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.99/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.51
-57% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -38%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
455 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fas
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Angola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
28.05.2014 Angola Angola 2-0 HT 0-0 Fas Fas HAZ
19.01.2013 Angola Angola 0-0 HT 0-0 Fas Fas AFUK
31.03.2009 Angola Angola 0-2 HT 0-1 Fas Fas HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas
1-0
AWAY Angola
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 5
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Fas vs Angola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas edged past Angola 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Fas had 66% of the ball to Angola's 34%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fas and 0.67 for Angola.

What was the final score of Fas vs Angola?

Fas 1-0 Angola in the Friendlies on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas vs Angola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Fas 66%, draw 19%, Angola 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fas) ✓ BTTS No
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